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Will Nigerians Ever See An End To  "Sorry, No Fuel?"

POSTED ON May 1, 2024 •   Special Features and Documentaries      BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara
State of Fuel scarcity in Nigeria l Credit:herald.ng l Source: herald.ng

In Nigeria, a country known for its vibrant culture, bustling cities, and rich natural resources, an ongoing issue of fuel scarcity continues to plague its citizens.

Fuel scarcity a persistent problem that has become a frustratingly common occurrence for Nigerians impacting not only their day-to-day lives but also the country's economy and infrastructure.

The scarcity of fuel in Nigeria can be attributed to a combination of factors, including a lack of functional  refineries, inadequate distribution infrastructure, and a heavy reliance on imported fuel due to the country's struggling domestic  oil industry.

As a result, Nigerians often find themselves waiting in long lines at petrol stations, sometimes for hours, only to be told by the fuel attendants "No Fuel".

This shortage of fuel has far-reaching consequences across various sectors of Nigerian society. For ordinary citizens, it means difficulties in commuting to work, running essential errands, and even providing electricity for their homes through generators. Businesses also face challenges in maintaining operations, as the cost of fuel increases and transportation becomes more unreliable. The ripple effects of fuel scarcity extends to industries such as agriculture, manufacturing, and transportation, leading to higher costs and reduced productivity.

Impact of Fuel Scarcity on Daily Life
Fuel scarcity in Nigeria has significant economic implications.
The country, as a major oil producer, should ideally have a stable and abundant fuel supply. However, the reality on the ground tells a different story. The recurring fuel shortages not only disrupt economic activities but also contribute to inflation, as prices across the board tend to rise in response to the increased cost of transportation and production.

Impact of Fuel Scarcity on Environment
The environment suffers as a result of fuel scarcity in Nigeria. With power outages becoming more frequent due to the reliance on generators, the use of fossil fuels intensifies, leading to increased air pollution and environmental degradation.
The lack of access to reliable and affordable energy sources also hinders efforts to promote sustainable development and mitigate climate change impacts.

Nigerians Resilience
Despite the challenges of fuel scarcity, Nigerians have demonstrated resilience and resourcefulness in the face of fuel scarcity. Many have adopted coping mechanisms, such as carpooling, using alternative modes of transportation, or investing in solar energy solutions. Community initiatives have emerged to address the issue at a grassroots level, with local organizations providing support and advocacy for sustainable energy practices.
 
Impact of Dangote Refinery on fuel scarcity in Nigeria 

Dangote Refinery, once fully licensed has the potential to significantly impact fuel scarcity in Nigeria. As the largest single-train refinery in the world with a capacity of refining 650,000 barrels per day, it is poised to revolutionize Nigeria's oil and gas industry.

Dangote Refinery aims to change  narrative of fuel scarcity by reducing the country's reliance on imported fuel and meeting a significant portion of Nigeria's domestic demand for petroleum products. With its vast output capacity, the refinery has the potential to not only satisfy local demand but also potentially produce excess fuel for export, bolstering Nigeria's position as a regional energy hub.

By reducing the need for fuel imports, the Dangote Refinery could help stabilize fuel supply in the country, minimizing the occurrence of scarcity and long queues at petrol stations. This could lead to a more consistent and reliable fuel supply chain, benefiting industries, businesses, and consumers alike.

 The refinery could stimulate competition in the local refining sector, prompting existing refineries to improve their operations to remain competitive. This could result in enhanced efficiency and increased overall refining capacity in Nigeria, further easing the fuel scarcity problem in the long term.

Dangote Refinery is also expected to create thousands of direct and indirect jobs, boosting employment opportunities and stimulating economic growth in the region. This economic development could lead to improved infrastructure, increased access to basic amenities, and overall enhanced quality of life for Nigerians.

Furthermore, the refinery's operation could potentially reduce the cost of refined petroleum products in the country. With local production increasing and import reliance decreasing, the market dynamics could shift, leading to more competitive pricing and potentially lower fuel costs for consumers. This could alleviate financial burdens on households and businesses, contributing to economic stability and growth.

Dangote Refinery's operation could enhance Nigeria's energy security by diversifying its energy sources and reducing its vulnerability to global oil price fluctuations. A self-sufficient domestic refining industry could shield the country from external supply disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties, enhancing its energy independence.

The Dangote Refinery has the potential to be a game-changer in addressing fuel scarcity in Nigeria. By increasing domestic refining capacity, creating jobs, stimulating economic growth, and enhancing energy security, the refinery could usher in a new era of stability and prosperity for the country's oil and gas industry.

Marketers Speak
During an interview on Channels Television’s ‘The Morning Brief Breakfast programme’, the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN), Billy Gillis-Harry, blamed the fuel scarcity across the country on a supply challenge from NNPC Limited.

The Public Relations Officer of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Chinedu Ukadike, said the association expects that by next week, NNPC should be able to restore supply.

“The situation is that there is no product. Once there is a lack of supply or inadequate supply, what you will see is scarcity and queues will emerge at filling stations.

On the part of NNPC Ltd, which is the sole supplier of petroleum products in Nigeria, they have attributed the challenge to logistics and vessel problems.

“Once there is a breach in the international supply chain, it will have an impact on domestic supply because we depend on imports. I also have it on good authority that most of the refineries in Europe are undergoing turnaround maintenance, so sourcing petroleum products has become a bit difficult,” he added.

He said the NNPC group CEO has assured them that there will be improvement in the supply chain because their vessels are arriving.

“Once that is done, normalcy will return. This is because once the 30-day supply sufficiency is disrupted, it takes two to three months to restore it. We expect that by next week or so, NNPC should be able to restore supply and within another week, normalcy should return,” he explained.

The IPMAN  depot chairmen said the Federal Government needed to pay over N200 billion  owed them for transporting petrol across the country during the subsidy regime. The chairmen said they had resolved  to withdraw  their ‘’services, close every single outlet, and suspend lifting of products forthwith’’ if the sum was not paid ‘’within the shortest period of time by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA).

The Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar decries the state of the nation, saying, petrol subsidy is purportedly gone; yet its impact lingers, revealing the ineptitude of the current federal government to fuel scarcity and economic hardships.

Government Response
In response to the ongoing fuel crisis, the Nigerian government has made efforts to address the underlying issues contributing to the scarcity through initiatives such as the deregulation of the downstream oil sector and the rehabilitation of existing refineries aim to improve the country's fuel production capacity and reduce dependence on imports. However, the effectiveness of these measures remains to be seen, as Nigerians continue to grapple with the impact of fuel scarcity on their daily lives.

The House of Representatives on April 30th 2024  invited the Minister of State (Petroleum Resources) Heineken Lokpobiri to a meeting  on  the way out of the crisis. But the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) and Major Energies Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN) assured that normalcy was being restored.
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