Would you like to receive notifications on latest updates of the following headlines?

Iraq faces 2025 fiscal squeeze as oil price slumps -- Economic Adviser

POSTED ON September 10, 2024 •   Business      BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara
A general view shows an oil rig used in drilling at the Zubair oilfield in Basra, Iraq, July 5, 2022. l Credit: Reuters

A top economic adviser to Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, has said Iraq faces a budget crunch in 2025 due to the slump in the price of oil, the overwhelming source of government revenue.

"We don't anticipate major problems in 2024, but we need stricter financial discipline for 2025," Mudher Saleh told Reuters in an interview late on Monday.

Iraq, OPEC's second-largest producer, is heavily dependent on oil revenues. The hydrocarbons sector accounts for the vast majority of export earnings and some 90% of state revenue.

This huge reliance on oil makes Iraq particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in global crude prices.

Still, Iraq increased its budget in 2024 even after record spending in 2023, when more than half a million additional employees were hired into the already-bloated public sector and a capital-intensive nationwide infrastructure revamp began.

The 2024 budget rose to 211 trillion dinars ($161 billion) from 199 trillion dinars ($153 billion) in 2023, maintaining a projected deficit of 64 trillion dinars, Saleh said.

The budget assumes an oil price of $70 per barrel in 2024, around $6 less than the likely average price this year.

Saleh said that paying salaries and pensions on time remain a top priority. They account for 90 trillion dinars ($69 billion), or over 40% of the budget, and are a key factor of social stability in Iraq.

"The government will pay salaries even if it costs everything. Salaries are holy in Iraq," he said.

Infrastructure development, meanwhile, could be refocused on the most strategic projects such as key road and bridge works in the capital Baghdad - if the state finds itself in a financial crunch, he said.

To bolster finances, Iraq is focusing on increasing non-oil revenues through improved tax collection but is not exploring any new levies, Saleh said.

He estimated that Iraq loses up to $10 billion annually due to tax evasion and customs-related problems.

Concerns for the 2025 budget reflect a challenging global oil market. Oil prices have been on a downward trend since mid-2022, with Brent crude, the international benchmark, falling from over $120 per barrel to below $75 in recent days.

This decline is largely attributed to weakening global demand, particularly from China, the world's largest oil importer, as its economic growth slows down.

READ ALSO
South Africa Surpasses Nigeria in Fuel Imports Amid Dangote Refinery Operations
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 29, 2025 0

Nigeria has lost its long-standing title as Africa’s largest importer of refined petroleum pro...

READ ALSO
Economists Warn of Debt Sustainability Risks as Nigeria Eyes $24.14 Billion in Foreign Loans
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 28, 2025 0

Nigeria's public debt is poised for another substantial increase as President Bola Tinubu has sought...

READ ALSO
Nigeria's Solid Minerals Sector Attracts Over $800 Million in Investments Amid Policy Shift
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 25, 2025 0

The Minister of Solid Minerals Development,Dr Dele Alake announced that Nigeria attracted over $800...

READ ALSO
SNEPCo Urges Indigenous Firms to Enhance Skills for Future Opportunities
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 23, 2025 0

The Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) has urged Nigerian firms to st...

READ ALSO
JUST IN: Dangote refinery slashes petrol prices by N15 nationwide
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 22, 2025 0

LAGOS, Nigeria — The Dangote Petroleum Refinery recently announced a reduction in the pump pri...

READ ALSO
Sanwo-Olu Advocates for Innovation, Accountability in Economic Policies
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 22, 2025 0

LAGOS, Nigeria - Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu has stated that Nigeria must hasten its pro...

READ ALSO
CBN's Rigid Monetary Policies Threaten Nigeria's Industrialization Efforts
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 22, 2025 0

With the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) keeping the benchmark interest rate at 27.5 percent, local ma...

READ ALSO
FG to Auction 753 Housing Units Recovered from Ex-CBN Governor Emefiele
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara May 20, 2025 0

ABUJA, Nigeria - The Federal Government has declared its intention to sell 753 housing units that we...

OUR CHANNELS:

NEMA Mobilizes Teams to 15 States Amid Flood Warnings
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

The National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) has sent officials to 15 high-risk states to educate...


Edo Faces Diphtheria Outbreak, Two Confirmed Deaths
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

EDO, Nigeria (NAN) - A diphtheria outbreak has been confirmed in Edo State, resulting in two deaths....


Tinubu Honors Bill Gates with National Award for Global Philanthropy
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

LAGOS, Nigeria - President Bola Tinubu commended Bill Gates, the co-founder of Microsoft and chairma...


Bahrain, Colombia, DRC, Latvia, and Liberia Join UN Security Council for 2026-2027 Term
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

The UN General Assembly on Tuesday elected five new non-permanent members to the UN Security Council...


Tinubu Orders Urgent Repairs on Flood-Damaged Bridge in Mokwa
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

NIGER, Nigeria (NAN)- President Bola Tinubu has instructed the Federal Ministry of Works to repair t...


Nigeria Needs ₦2.2 Trillion to Eliminate Cervical Cancer by 2030, Says Task Force Chair
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

ABUJA, Nigeria — Nigeria will need ₦2.2 trillion to roll out comprehensive cervical cancer ini...


EFCC Charges Two Men for Posing as Fake Sureties in Illegal Mining Case
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 4, 2025 0

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has charged two individuals, Shehu Abdu and Isah...


Court Sentence Scrap Seller to 12 Years for Sexual Assault of Four-Year-Old Girl
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 4, 2025 0

A scrap seller, Nasiru Usman, was sentenced to 12 years in prison by an Ikeja Sexual Offences and Do...


70-Year-Old Faces Manslaughter Charges After Fatal Accident
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

LAGOS, Nigeria - A 70-year-old man, Isiaka Afolayan, has been detained for careless driving and the...


Police Arrest 49 years old Suspect for Abduction of Two-Month-Old Baby
BY Abiodun Saheed Omodara June 5, 2025 0

DELTA, Nigeria - The police in Delta reported the arrest of a suspect named Joy Temitope for the abd...


More Articles

Load more...

Menu